Keys to the White House: Famous Prediction Model Says Trump Will be Re-elected. Could It Be Flawed?

— George Cassidy Payne Inspired by predictive variables in earthquake research, political historian Allan Lichtman’s 1996 book, The Keys to the White House, introduced his prediction system for determining the outcome of U.S. presidential elections. Lichtman’s formula has received a fair amount of attention since its publication because it actually works. Even before the book … Continue reading Keys to the White House: Famous Prediction Model Says Trump Will be Re-elected. Could It Be Flawed?